Research

Migration Watch approaches our research output carefully and diligently; while we have a proven track record of getting it right on the issue, we know how sensitive the topic is and ensure we provide neutral, non-partisan and numbers-based analysis. On that basis, we source our numbers from officially published statistics reports, most usually the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the National Audit Office (NAO), the Home Office (HO), and other arms of His Majesty’s Government. 
 
Where needed, we make projections guided by statistical inference and modelling guided by one of our co-founders, Dr David Coleman, Emeritus Professor of Demographics at the University of Oxford. We place the highest possible premium on numbers-based analysis, and ensure and encourage a calm and level-headed approach to the facts concerning this paramount issue. 

What happens to those crossing the Channel illegally?

1. Illegal Channel crossings in small boats are becoming more frequent. So far, 2020 has seen well over 4,000 detected arrivals in contrast to just under 1,900 in 2019. There was a record of 235 people detected arriving in a day in August 2020 (see our Channel Tracking Station).[1] In the

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Has the UK become more positive about immigration?

Summary (i) In the midst of suggestions that the public has become less negative about immigration over the past decade, it is clear that stark divisions remain regarding perceptions about the impact of immigration (36% saying it is negative and 35% saying positive, according to YouGov in Feb. 2020). The

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Potential global pool of recruits under new Points-Based System

Issue 1. A key factor determining the practical impact of the new Points-Based System is the size of the pool of eligible workers abroad. Our estimate, using cautious assumptions and based on a range of data sources, is that the pool might contain well over 600 million people. Even the possibility

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Estimate of arrivals by illegal Channel crossing

1. The number of people arriving in the UK via illegal Channel crossing is on course to reach at least 7,500 in 2020 should they continue at the rate seen since January. 2. The number of crossings in the year so far – 2,400 – is four times the 600 or so

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Spending on tackling illegal immigration from France

1. The government has paid £114 million to the French government in order to stop illegal immigration originating from that country since 2015 (Parliamentary Answer, 16 June 2020) – see par. 4 below. 2. Despite this, illegal and overt Channel crossings in small boats are at a new high, with a record 145

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Explore Further

Migration Watch UK Media photo of a crowd overlooking the Thames.

Media

Watch our most recent broadcast appearances, interviews, and briefings, where we comment on immigration, population growth, and related policy issues. These videos offer timely, expert insight and considered responses to current developments in the public and political debate.

Migration Watch Newsletter image of British troops and a helicopter in a field training.

Blogs

We publish blogs that draw on data and research, and through them we inform debate, spark discussion, and explore the wider implications of current developments.

Migration Watch Statistics

Statistics

Migration Watch UK monitors and analyses official immigration and population statistics. We chart trends, report key developments, and provide clear, accessible insights to help understand migration and its impact on the UK.